The Climate Change Train Has Left The Station

We must prepare and save what we can

The Climate Change Train Has Left The Station
Photo by Dan Roizer / Unsplash

I came across the C-ROADS climate change simulator. It was developed by MIT to help policymakers understand how their action (or little to no action) on climate change and greenhouse gas emissions will affect the temperature rise by 2100.

I ran the simulations and have come to one conclusion, we’ll need to adapt and fast. The rising temperature train has left the station. The only question we need to answer is how fast do we let it go and can we get it to slow down?

Take for example a scenario where the USA and the rest of the world’s governments pledge to a peak emission year in 2030 with emission reductions starting at 2% annually starting in 2050. Helping this simulation would be limiting deforestation by 30% and reforesting areas by 60%.

That simulated scenario resulted in a 2.6C (4.6F) temperature rise by 2100. DAMN!

Let’s take a look at a more aggressive policy change, one similar to what we did with fixing the ozone hole.

Assuming that we peak in emissions in 2030 and start annual reductions in the same year by 50%, keeping the same for deforestation and reforestation, we’ll see a 1.2C (2.2F) rise in global temperatures by 2100.

We’ll need to adapt

There’s no way around this! The world is warming and the various ecological systems of the world will be affected, some worse than others. We’ll need to adapt and fast.

We must evaluate how we’ll grow food in a warming world. Will we become more vegan? What must we do to protect and save the vulnerable flora and fauna?

Can we turn this ship around? Yes, but it will cost us. There will be massive extinctions around the world. There will be climate refugees and low-lying Pacific Islands that will slip under the water. There will be damage but we need to prepare now and save what we can.